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The full regular-season schedule is out. The Chiefs open defense of their Super Bowl title vs. Houston.


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NFL season projections - Chances to make Super Bowl, win division, land top draft spot, more
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Lamar Jackson will try to defend his NFL MVP Award in The book has just closed on the NFL season. But even as the Super Bowl.


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On Tuesday morning, ESPN dropped its latest NFL projections. dive into what the numbers say about every team's chances heading into the season.


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This section is showing information as of the end the season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the NFL section (about a.


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Check out updated NFL Win Totals Odds for the regular season to be played over 17 weeks from September 10, through January 3, at VegasInsider. Injuries 路 News 路 Buy Picks 路 Odds 路 Futures Market 路 Predictions.


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NFL analyst Cynthia Frelund breaks down her way-too-early win projections for the Bills and each NFL team in the season.


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The NFL Draft is wrapped up and now players will begin preparing for the season. Now that offseason is coming to an end with a.


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Via William Hill Sportsbook, here's a look at the preseason projected win total for every NFL team for the upcoming season following the.


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Check out updated NFL Win Totals Odds for the regular season to be played over 17 weeks from September 10, through January 3, at VegasInsider. Injuries 路 News 路 Buy Picks 路 Odds 路 Futures Market 路 Predictions.


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That translates into a slight advantage for the Bucs in terms of chance to reach the playoffs. How NFL offensive linemen escape the 5,calorie lunch and transform in retirement. But while the Ravens have a far superior defense to the Chiefs, it's not enough to make up for Kansas City's advantage on offense. With the new playoff format, the biggest changes are that it has the potential to face a No. The Broncos have five games against top FPI teams: two against the Chiefs, one against the Bucs, one on the road at the Patriots and one against the Saints. Steelers' JuJu Smith-Schuster surprises family with new house. A seventh playoff team in the conference also opens up the possibility that all four teams in a division could reach the postseason. The Washington Redskins , who just selected No. Instead, increased chances for the lower seeds -- especially the No. But when we do look down at the No. But the same pattern emerged, though the No. The Colts have only one such game, at home against the Ravens in Week 9. And it says the Denver Broncos have the toughest schedule in the league, while the Colts have the easiest. But is that actually true? Steelers' Conner surprises mom with new house. The buzz around the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Patriots feels noticeably different this offseason. FPI produces team rankings and season projections , which we're unveiling for the season for the first time here. Though the Bucs are legitimate contenders, these are the worst preseason projections a Brady-led team has had since ESPN started doing them in Here's how close the margin is: Buffalo has a This division is a toss-up for the first time since we discovered fire. Buoyed by what FPI considers to be easily the best offense in football, the Chiefs are more than a touchdown better than an average NFL team and more than a point better than the second-best team in the league, the Baltimore Ravens. McCarthy might bring a pass-heavier approach, and while it is not represented in the model, it supports the notion even more. That was fueled almost exclusively by the team's offense, which finished third in efficiency, while the defense was merely average. Speaking of those new seventh seeds, who does FPI predict they will be in ? No team is more likely to earn a No. What about a seventh ring for Brady? It fails to capture the fact that teams can be of different quality than their record suggests, given offseason player movement and the various effects of home-field advantage and rest differential. To test further, we ran additional sims in two additional scenarios: one in which each seed had a set level of team strength, and one in which all seeds were given the same team strength before home-field advantage. But even if the Jags don't land the top pick, there's a very good chance they'll still land a top pick. Jaguars' offense could be entertaining. As mentioned, offense is more consistent year to year. Kaepernick, Disney announce partnership deal. But based on our simulations, this amounts to either a negligible or small advantage. An initial reaction to the league's decision to increase the playoff field was that it made the No. Simply put, Baltimore has a better offense than San Francisco. Consider the Chiefs' opponents: Their Vegas win totals factor in that they have to play the Chiefs, a more difficult than average game. Trump defends Redskins, Indians team names. Here are some of the bigger takeaways from our 20, FPI season simulations -- and jump to the bottom to see the full listing of FPI rankings for all 32 teams. It is the most likely team to land the No. After quarterback Patrick Mahomes put in another strong season and led the Chiefs to the Lombardi trophy last season, Kansas City's offense is as sure a bet to be elite as you can have in the NFL. Patriots offering free parking for home games. None of that is a shock. Kansas City Chiefs. The Cowboys didn't win enough, but they were good enough. Skip to navigation. Pittsburgh Steelers. New England Patriots. Louis Riddick goes through the Kansas City Chiefs' schedule to break down some of the biggest challenges they will face. Extension for Patrick Mahomes a no-brainer for Chiefs. Los Angeles Rams. Either it faces a No. And it's a big reason to be bullish on the Cowboys overall. So what's going on here? Though FPI is heavily reliant on preseason win totals, it teases out team ratings and therefore can calculate schedule strength without really running into any of those problems. Jacksonville Jaguars.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Time will tell! Baltimore Ravens. No matter what, the No. And yet, FPI doesn't see much of a difference between these two teams. Of course, there's no guarantee that Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence will be the No. What we found was somewhat surprising. So with many of the key ingredients back -- including quarterback Dak Prescott , wide receiver Amari Cooper and offensive linemen Tyron Smith , La'el Collins and Zack Martin -- there's every reason to be bullish on the Dallas offense. Despite the mediocre. Better, worse or same? Twelve months ago we assumed Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa would be the first pick in the draft. And indeed, there is a large drop-off between the four teams with a double-digit-percent shot at winning Super Bowl LV and the rest of the pack. The No. Washington Redskins. Buffalo is one of four divisional favorites that did not win its division in One area in which FPI is particularly helpful is its ability to calculate strength of schedule. So why the love for the Cowboys all of a sudden? The effect is that it makes the Chiefs' schedule look easier than it is. Strength of schedule A new playoff format NFL draft projections. But then, interestingly, the No. But to be fair, those sims were based on the actual teams in each of these seasons. In fact, its divisional chances might be even higher if the Philadelphia Eagles weren't directly behind Dallas in FPI's rankings at No. There's a similar story for the Nos. SOS is often calculated by using last year's win-loss record, but that is a faulty measure. Dallas finished last season, failed to reach the playoffs and fired longtime coach Jason Garrett, replacing him with former Packers coach Mike McCarthy. By far the most likely division for that to happen is the NFC West, which achieved the result in out of 20, simulations. Well, FPI actually always loved them. Report: Redskins' minority owners looking to sell. Not super surprising so far, right? The addition of a seventh playoff team in each conference has changed the structure of the postseason. Sometimes SOS is computed by comparing the Vegas win totals of every team's opponent, but this too is a faulty measure. Though the No. To test the effect of the seventh seed, we simulated the , , and seasons based on preseason ratings with both the old six-team format and the new seven-team format. The new No. So it could be affected by the range of team strengths in those seasons. No changes to Rams' O-line, but team optimistic about better results. One-third of the time in our simulations, the seventh seed came from a division with another wild-card team. The upside for Jacksonville? {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Preseason ratings are based on each team's Las Vegas win total; last season's performance on offense, defense and special teams; the number of returning starters; coaching staff changes; and starting and backup quarterbacks. Those four teams are widely expected to be contenders after their respective successes last season. Because offense is more predictable from year to year relative to defense, the model has confidence that the Chiefs will be one of the best teams -- if not the best team -- in the league this season. Sources: Chiefs give Mahomes massive extension. So to sum up: The No. Cam Newton joining Patriots has similarities to Randy Moss in ' Patrick Mahomes tops Mike Trout for biggest contract in sports history.